CPD Home Page 1 . 2 . 3 . 4 . 5 . 6 . 7 . 8  

formulating exchange rate policy

(From page-1)

Minister for Finance, Mr M Saifur Rahman, said that he did not have a rigid stance on the exchange rate regime but that the current exchange rate policy is serving Bangladesh well - at least for the time being. Referring to the weaknesses of the country's financial markets he said that the depth and strength of our money markets do not suggest a shift towards a float just yet. The Finance Minister pointed out that international agencies had suggested Bangladesh to opt for free float of the exchange rate. But he felt there were many factors that had to be looked at before opting for a free exchange regime. Even the social considerations would have to be taken into account before this particular policy shift. He felt that if the exchange rate soars after free float of the currency, investment would face a severe blow. Former Finance Minister M Syeduzzaman mentioned
that the country should prepare itself for free float of exchange rate, but not jump into it. The country now has to balance its budget and correct the market imperfections and wipe out weaknesses of the institutions. He, however, said that a sort of distortion in the country's exchange rate regime is one of the reasons for the huge trade imbalance with India.

Dr Fakhruddin Ahmed pointed out that there is a US$200 million inter-bank market at present in Bangladesh in foreign exchange trading. Referring to the aftermath of the free float of exchange rates in neighbouring countries, the BB Governor expressed his belief that even in a free market situation the central bank has a role to play. However, former BB Governor, Dr Farashuddin Ahmed said the volatility and risk associated with the full float of exchange rate may have a negative impact on the inward remittance. He also suggested the inclusion of the currencies of trade competitors in the current currency basket.
Government Committed to Providing
Necessary Support to Farmers

Food Minister seeks private sector investment in the agriculture sector
CPD organised a dialogue on Liberalisation of the Crop Sector: Can Bangladesh Withstand Regional Competition on January 8, 2003 at the BRAC Centre Inn, Dhaka. Food Minister Mr Abdullah Al Noman, MP attended the dialogue as the Chief Guest, while former Deputy Speaker Professor Ali Ashraf was the Special Guest. Head of Social Sciences Division of Manila-based International Rice Research Institute (IRRI) Dr Mahabub Hossain presented the keynote paper.
In his keynote presentation, Dr Mahabub Hossain mentioned that India is subsidising exports of rice and wheat and following a highly restrictive import policy, leaving Bangladeshi rice markets as an exposed dumping ground for Indian exporters.
Dr Hossain in his paper said that in order to push rice exports, the Indians have decided to release stocks from the Food Corporation of India (FCI) to private exporters at a subsidised rate of US$127per ton while the economic cost was US$253. He explained in his paper how India raised import duties on various farm products to protect its domestic crop production and market. India has clearly turned backwards from the policy of liberalisation initiated in the early 1990s. External trade has been brought back under state trading agencies from private traders. For staple grains, India follows a policy of subsidised exports and highly restrictive import policy.
Attempting to identify coping strategies for Bangladesh, Dr Hossain said that lowering production cost could be another way of fighting the dumping. Presenting a comparative picture, he said Bangladeshi farmers have to spend about US$51 for irrigating one hectare of land while that number is as low as US$18 in Andhra Pradesh and US$32 in Punjab in India, only US$18 in Thailand and US$26 in Vietnam. In Indian Punjab, electricity is free for tubewell irrigation and free water is given from irrigation canals. In Bangladesh, the major sources of irrigation are privately-owned shallow tubewells and power pumps. Dr Hossain recommended rapid expansion of rural electrification and subsidised power for irrigation as long-term strategies for Bangladesh.
Dr Hossain pointed out that Bangladesh allows the private sector to import rice but India imports foodgrains only through the state-run FCI and that


Participants at the dialogue on Crop Sector. From left to right: Dr Mahabub Hossain, Professor Ali Ashraf, Mr M Syeduzzaman, Mr Abdullah Al Noman, MP, Dr Debapriya Bhattacharya and Mr Noel Magor.

this year, private-sector importers in Bangladesh are bringing in export subsidised rice from India without even considering the availability of locally grown rice. Against this backdrop, the dialogue participants stated that Bangladesh should contemplate imposing anti-dumping and countervailing duties, aimed at protecting local producers, even though the measure would go against WTO provisions. They also suggested giving subsidies to rural electrification programmes in a bid to help reduce the production cost of farmers.
This was an issue he felt that warranted some intervention. In a related vein, A Rouf Chowdhury of the Federation of Bangladesh Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FBCCI), pointed out that India and Thailand have institutionalised the irrigation systems to give a boost to the agro-based industries but that Bangladesh had failed in this area and should focus on time and energy at this end.
Food Minister Mr Abdullah Al Noman laid the emphasis on increasing private and public investment in the agriculture sector and cutting post-harvest losses in order to ensure food security of the country. Reacting to the issue of protectionism, the Minister said that the government was ready to undertake measures, such as the imposition of anti-dumping duties to protect local agricultural produce. "We will continue to support our farmers till we feel they don't need government assistance". In addition, he mentioned that the government has proposed the restructuring of the Public Food Distribution Systems to reduce the fiscal consequences without sacrificing the food security needs of the poor, vulnerable and disaster-affected population of Bangladesh.
CPD Quarterly
January-March 2003