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Budget FY04: Highly Ambitious, yet Ambiguous
CPD team at the post-budget press briefing
Successful implementation of the proposed budget depends on three major factors: flow of private investment, resurgence in exports and implementation of the ADP. This view was expressed by the Executive Director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD) Dr Debapriya Bhattacharya whilst presenting an initial assessment of the proposed budget for FY04. Held at CPD Dialogue Room on June 13, 2003 the assessment report was prepared by the CPD research team led by Dr Bhattacharya.

Dr Bhattacharya criticised the proposed budget on the ground that it ignored such important issues as inefficiency in the utility sector, problems associated with ports, lack of initiative to constitute an independent anti-corruption commission, slow pace of privatisation etc. "These are critically important for investment to rally", he noted.
The proposed budget was criticised for failing to identify ADP implementation related problems and its inability to reveal the reform plan agreed by the government with development partners. The CPD assessment also criticised the budget for lacking an anti-poverty vision, for not recognising micro-economic impediments to investment, and for not addressing the issues of governance adequately.

However, the CPD team also appreciated the Finance Minister's proposals for providing support to agro-based industries, textiles and readymade garment sector.

CPD research fellows Dr Ananya Raihan, Dr Uttam Kumar Deb, Dr Fahmida A Khatun and Head of Dialogue and Communication Division Ms Anisatul Fatema Yousuf attended the briefing.
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Call to Form an Inter-Ministerial Task Force
CPD Dialogue on Economic Impact of Iraq War

Economists, academics, politicians, diplomats, representatives of donor agencies and civil society organisations, and journalists expressed their concern over the possible short and long term negative impact of the Iraq war on Bangladesh's economy. Participants felt that Bangladesh should form an Inter-Ministerial Task Force to assess those impacts and in also to take corrective measures. They also called upon all the political parties to help the government overcome the expected difficulties, by keeping their differences aside. These views were aired at a dialogue titled "The War in Iraq and Economic Impacts for Bangladesh" which CPD organised on April 10, 2003 at the CIRDAP Auditorium in Dhaka.


Presided over by CPD Chairman Professor Rehman Sobhan, the keynote paper was presented by Dr Debapriya Bhattacharya, Executive Director, CPD, who prepared the paper jointly with CPD Research Director Professor Mustafizur Rahman.

Dwelling on the possible consequences of the Iraq war on the Bangladesh economy, Dr Bhattacharya observed that if the war was prolonged it would have negative impact in terms of outflow of workers, and remittance flow and export earnings from the middle-east. The war was also likely to drawdown the already shrinking flow of aid to the least developed countries, he cautioned. "Uncertainties in the global economy may deepen leading to increased arbitrary treatment of trade partners in distribution of trade preferences", he remarked. The issue of participation of Bangladeshi workers in post-war Iraq reconstruction was also discussed in the meeting.

CPD ED Dr Debapriya Bhattacharya speaks at the dialogue on Iraq War. ICC,B President Mr Mahbub-Ur Rahman, Lt Col Mohammed Faruk Khan psc (Rtd), MP, Professor Rehman Sobhan, Mr GM Quader, MP and Mr Mushfiqur Rahman, MP are also seen in the picture.

Speakers at the dialogue were critical of the government's position on the US led war against Iraq.


Professor Sobhan said that the underlying agenda of the Iraq war was to replace OPEC's control over the oil fields by that of the private sector, thereby making way for the multinational companies (MNCs) to control the production and pricing of oil.

The seminar was attended, among others, by Dr Atiur Rahman of BIDS, President of ICC,B Mr Mahbubur Rahman, Mr Faruq Khan, MP of Awami League, Mr GM Quader, MP of Jatiya Party, Mr Rashed Khan Menon of Workers' Party, former State Minister for Foreign Affairs Mr Abul Hasan Chowdhury, former ERD Secretary Dr Mashiur Rahman, and former Ambassador Muhammad Zamir.
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Upcoming Activities of CPD


Dialogue on Environment Debates in the WTO: Defining Bangladesh's Interest will be held at CIRDAP Auditorium on August 07, 2003


A National Dialogue on Human Security in Bangladesh: Recent Trends and Response will be held on August 11, 2003 at CIRDAP Auditorium. CPD and Asiatic Marketing Communications Limited will jointly organise the event.
Launch Meeting for South Asia Human Development Report 2002 will take place between August 20-22, 2003.

Dialogue on Post Cancun Issues and Concerns is expected to be held on October 02, 2003.

Dialogue on Policy Options for Livelihood Security of the Resource-poor Farmers and Empowerment of Rural Women will be held on October 23, 2003. CPD and PETRRA will jointly organise the event.
The Trade Policy Appreciation Workshop - IV will be held during December 01-03, 2003.


Dialogue on WTO Rules will be held on December 04, 2003.


Dialogue on Globalisation: Role of State and Human Development is expected to be held during December 17-19, 2003. CPD and UNDESA will jointly organise the seminar.
CPD Quarterly
April-June 2003